Sterling Preston|Budget Office report credits immigration and spending deals with improved outlook despite huge debt

2025-05-05 09:38:20source:EvoAIcategory:My

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Sterling Prestonnonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Wednesday that it expects the federal government to be awash in debt over the next 30 years, but the outlook has improved over the past year due to increased immigration and agreements to reduce spending.

The CBO’s latest long-term budget and economic outlook report — for a timeframe that spans 2024 to 2054 — projects publicly held debt to reach 166% of gross domestic product, or GDP, in 2054. That’s down from the agency’s June 2023 long-term budget projection, which said publicly held debt would be equal to a record 181% of American economic activity by 2053.

The CBO attributes the expected increase in economic growth to “stronger growth of the potential labor force over the next 10 years, largely driven by increased net immigration, and faster capital accumulation over the next 30 years.”

In the nearer term, by 2029, public debt is expected to reach 107% of GDP, surpassing the historical peak it reached after World War II, according to the report released Wednesday.

The CBO report outlines the necessity for an immigrant workforce to help the nation’s economy grow — otherwise the nation’s population is expected to shrink into 2040 without immigration.

READ MORE Maryland House pushes higher taxes, online gambling in $1.3B plan for education and transportationVirginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin says he won’t support recently passed budget that includes tax hikeMaryland Senate approves $63B budget legislation for next fiscal year

A decreasing population can have profound negative effects on the economy, including stagnating living standards and difficulties paying down debts.

Another factor contributing to smaller projected deficits is a 2023 agreement between Republicans and Democratic President Joe Biden’s White House to suspend the statutory debt limit until 2025 in exchange for restrictions on spending for the next two years. Raising the nation’s debt limit, currently at $31.4 trillion, ensures that the government can borrow to pay debts already incurred.

The CBO issues projections that are generally more pessimistic than those of other forecasters such as the Federal Reserve and writes that its projections are subject to a high degree of uncertainty.

More:My

Recommend

Newly elected West Virginia lawmaker arrested and accused of making terroristic threats

CHARLESTON, W.Va. (AP) — A newly elected state lawmaker in West Virginia is facing at least one felo

Shooter in Colorado LGBTQ+ club massacre intends to plead guilty to federal hate crimes

The shooter in the fatal 2022 attack at an LGBTQ+ nightclub in Colorado is expected to plead guilty

Montana man pleads guilty to possessing homemade bombs in school threat case

HELENA, Mont. (AP) — A Montana man who had reportedly threatened to commit a Columbine-style attack